Ajax have got 2 successive wins lately, with 7 wins out of their recent 10 home matches.
As for Waalwijk, they are winless for 4 games after the winter break, with 4 losses out of their recent 5 away matches.
Now the AH line is -3.25 for the hosts, which is fully in favor of Ajax.
With much better quality and recent performance, Ajax are expected to win this game as well as in AH payout.