Israel have good performance in the qualifiers. Under the lead of Eran Zahavi, they have grabbed 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss after 4 qualifying games. Now they sit 2nd in the group. Besides, they are unbeaten by recording 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 home matches, with huge home field advantages.
But now the AH line is only -0.75 for the hosts, so Israel fail to earn enough support from the bookies.
In conclusion, Israel should not be overestimated in this match.