Madrid are motivated to take the advantage by winning the 1st leg on home field. However, they just lost the top spot of La Liga, and Eden Hazard will miss the rest of the season due to fractured ankle, which is a big blow for them.
On the other hand, City have been winning games lately with a warming defense. It’s obvious that they are not affected by the UEFA ban. Besides, they rotated their lineup in their last league game for this game.
Therefore the visitors are likely to win this game under the AH line of -0.25.